termiNIL / Analysis / Why Are Quarterbacks Worth So Much More in NIL?
Explainer

Why Are Quarterbacks Worth So Much More in NIL?

The short answer

termiNIL models the median FBS quarterback at $585K, nearly three times the next-highest position and close to eight times the average of the other fourteen position groups. Quarterbacks are under 5% of the player pool but account for almost a fifth of the sport's $3.00 billion in modeled NIL value. The premium comes from leverage and exposure, not scarcity alone — a punter is exactly as scarce and is modeled at $58K.

Key takeaways
  • The median FBS quarterback is modeled at $585K — nearly three times the next-highest position, edge rusher, at $205K.
  • Quarterbacks are 689 of 14,519 players in the model, under 5% of the pool, but their $599.58M in combined value is almost 20% of the sport's $3.00B market.
  • Ohio State's Julian Sayin tops the position at $6.24M, more than double the highest-valued wide receiver's $2.89M ceiling.
  • The 90th-percentile quarterback is worth $1.79M — more than double the 90th-percentile edge rusher at $878K.
  • A punter is exactly as scarce as a quarterback, one per team, but is modeled at $58K — about a tenth of the QB median.

Every quarterback ranking says the position is special. Almost none say why, beyond "he touches the ball every play." That explanation also describes a center, and a center's NIL value in termiNIL's model is $124K — a fifth of what a quarterback carries.

termiNIL prices all 689 FBS quarterbacks the same way it prices every other player: six factors, multiplied, not averaged. What that arithmetic actually rewards at the position is the story here, and it is not simply that there is one starter per team — because there is one starting punter per team too, and a punter is worth about a tenth as much.

This is the shape of the premium, in dollars, and what is actually driving it.

Why are quarterbacks worth more than every other position?

Two of the six factors in termiNIL's model do most of the separating: production grade and team multiplier.

A quarterback's production grade reflects the outcome of nearly every offensive snap a team runs, not a slice of it the way a guard's or a safety's grade does. Volume and visibility of evidence are both higher, so the grade moves further from the position base in either direction. And because the quarterback is the public face of a program, the team multiplier — tied to program revenue, brand and market size — applies at closer to full strength, where it barely registers for a backup offensive lineman.

Stack the two on top of the highest position base rate in the sport, and the gap compounds instead of adding. The full six-factor breakdown — position base, role, production grade, team, market and social reach — is in termiNIL's valuation methodology explainer.

How big is the quarterback premium, in dollars?

Quarterback sits well above every other position group on every measure the model tracks.

PositionPlayersMedian90th percentileMax
QB689$585K$1.79M$6.24M
DE884$205K$878K$1.87M
C265$124K$334K$656K
RB944$107K$467K$1.63M
CB1,368$81K$599K$1.36M
TE890$77K$306K$1.32M

The median quarterback ($585K) is nearly three times edge rusher, the next-highest position at $205K, and close to eight times the average of the other fourteen position-group medians in the model.

The gap shows up at the market level too. Quarterbacks are 689 of 14,519 total players — under 5% of the pool — but their combined $599.58M is almost 20% of the sport's $3.00B in modeled NIL value. One in five dollars in the model flows to a position that is one in twenty players.

Which quarterbacks are the most valuable in 2026?

At the top of the position, the leaderboard is tight.

RankPlayerTeamConferenceValueGrade
1Julian SayinOhio StateBig Ten$6.24MA+
2Arch ManningTexasSEC$6.21MA+
3Dante MooreOregonBig Ten$6.06MA+
4Trinidad ChamblissOle MissSEC$5.81MA+
5CJ CarrNotre DameIndependent$5.71MA+

Julian Sayin and Arch Manning are effectively tied — the gap between them is well under 1%, inside the model's rounding. Dante Moore trails by a wider but still narrow margin. Below the top five the position spreads out fast: the full board, all 689 quarterbacks, is in termiNIL's quarterback rankings.

Is scarcity the whole story?

No, and the model makes that easy to check. Scarcity by itself does not explain the premium — if it did, every position with exactly one starter per team would command a similar price.

It doesn't. A punter is exactly as scarce as a quarterback: one per team, every week, for all 138 FBS programs. The punter position is modeled at a $58K median, about a tenth of the quarterback figure. A long snapper, also one per team, is modeled even lower at $36K.

What separates quarterback from punter and long snapper is leverage. The position touches the ball on essentially every offensive snap, its production grade is built almost entirely from outcomes the quarterback controls, and it carries the full weight of the team and market multipliers that scale with program exposure. Scarcity sets the floor for how few players compete for the role. Leverage and exposure set how much that role is worth once it's filled.

Every one of the 689 quarterbacks in the model, with the full six-factor breakdown behind each number, is on the termiNIL terminal.

Frequently asked questions

Why are quarterbacks worth more than other positions in NIL?
termiNIL prices quarterbacks on the same six factors as every position — position base, role, production grade, team, market and social reach — but quarterbacks score higher on the factors tied to leverage and exposure. Production grading concentrates on one player instead of spreading across a unit, and the team multiplier applies at closer to full strength. The median quarterback is modeled at $585K against $205K for edge rusher, the next-highest position.
How much is the average college quarterback worth in NIL?
termiNIL's model puts 689 FBS quarterbacks at a median value of $585K and a mean of $870K. The mean runs higher because a handful of elite starters, led by Ohio State's Julian Sayin at $6.24M, pull the average up. The 90th percentile of the position sits at $1.79M.
Which quarterback has the highest modeled NIL value right now?
Ohio State's Julian Sayin leads at $6.24M, with Texas' Arch Manning effectively tied at $6.21M — a gap of well under 1%. Oregon's Dante Moore ($6.06M), Ole Miss's Trinidad Chambliss ($5.81M) and Notre Dame's CJ Carr ($5.71M) round out the top five. These are modeled valuations, not reported contract figures.
Is the quarterback premium really about scarcity?
Not on its own. Every FBS team fields exactly one starting punter too, and the punter position is modeled at a $58K median — about a tenth of the quarterback figure. Scarcity only produces a premium when it is paired with on-field leverage and concentrated production grading, which is what actually separates quarterback from every other single-starter position.

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termiNIL prices all 14,000+ FBS players with one transparent model. Open the terminal and check any roster, position group, or player yourself.

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Methodology note. All player valuations on termiNIL are modeled estimates produced by a transparent bottom-up factor model — position base × role × production grade × team × market × social reach. They are not reported salaries, verified contract figures, or statements of fact about any athlete's actual compensation, and they are calibrated on an ongoing basis against confirmed market data. termiNIL is independent and is not affiliated with the NCAA, the College Sports Commission, any school, collective, or agency.

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